SEC college football picks, Week 13 odds: Alabama cruises by Auburn in Iron Bowl, Tennessee bounces back – Update Alaba

Rivalry Week is upon us, which means bragging rights are on the line across the SEC, including when No. 7 Alabama dukes it out with rival Auburn in the SEC’s Iron Bowl on CBS Game of the Week. The Crimson Tide have been eliminated from SEC West contention, but are in the running for a state championship after last season’s four-overtime thriller. Auburn is coming off a rough campaign, but an upset over the Crimson Tide with interim coach and legendary Tigers running back Carnell Williams at the helm would give the program a much-needed boost heading into the offseason.

Elsewhere, No. 1 Georgia takes on Georgia Tech as the Bulldogs look to cap off another perfect regular season, No. 5 LSU tries to keep its faint College Football Playoff hopes alive at Texas A&M and South Carolina will look to clinch its second streak . upset over No. 8 Clemson.

Let’s break down each play and pick straight up and against the spread.

Appetizer: Style points for tigers

Don’t be surprised if LSU coach Brian Kelly keeps his foot on the gas vs. Texas A&M if his Tigers can jump out to a lead. He knows that in this day and age, he can make a great final impression go a long way. No, Texas A&M isn’t exactly a juggernaut this year. In fact, it’s a disaster.

Let’s play a game for a moment. Let’s say, hypothetically, LSU kicks down Georgia’s door in the SEC Championship Game. Would the CFP selection committee give the two-loss Tigers a spot in the four-team playoff? They would have two quality wins over Georgia and Alabama, but a loss to Tennessee doesn’t look as great as it did before Tennessee lost to South Carolina, and an early season loss to No. 16 Florida is inexcusable. a team worthy of the title.

LSU outscored UAB 41-10 last week despite only being a two-touchdown favorite. A surprise win over Texas A&M combined with a potential upset over Georgia would show the committee that they are peaking at the right time and create some interesting conversations in this boardroom.

Main Course: Revenge?

Auburn is a 22-point deficit to Alabama, indicating that this edition of the Iron Bowl is poised to be an upset. Not so fast. Last season, it was a 20.5-point margin, and Alabama needed four overtimes to beat an Auburn team led by quarterback TJ Finley, who was hampered by a leg injury late in the game.

This one is in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, and there’s no doubt the crimson and white crowd will make things difficult for the Tigers. However, Auburn’s pass defense has been significantly better in its last three games — two of which came against Mississippi State and Western Kentucky. The Crimson Tide wide receiver corps has been inconsistent all year. If Auburn can shut down the deep threats and make Alabama one-dimensional, they will have a chance.

Plus, assuming Carnell Williams doesn’t get the full-time Auburn job, sending him off with a three-game winning streak and a win over a team he had 204 rushing yards against in 2003 would be a storybook ending to a wild season. plane.

Dessert: Return of the Rattler

At one time, South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler was the Heisman Trophy favorite at Oklahoma. He hasn’t lived up to that hype, but he looked it last Saturday as he threw for 438 yards and six touchdowns in a 63-38 win over Tennessee. Could he do it again and put Clemson’s SRP hopes to a screeching halt? It will require an effort even better than what we saw vs. Volunteers.

The Tigers are giving up just 214.5 passing yards per game and, more importantly, 6.2 yards per attempt. Thanks to big plays in the passing game, the Rattlers were successful on Saturday, averaging 11.8 yards per attempt. The Rattler destroyed Tennessee’s CFP chances last weekend and has a chance to do the same to his team’s archrival this weekend. However, it will require a lot more magic than last week.

Selections

Straight up: 75-25 | Anti-Proliferation: 46-44-2
*Previous picks were made on Instagram as SEC Smothered & Covered begins in Week 3

Mississippi State at No. 20 Ole Miss

Recommended game | Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Rebels have lost two in a row and their defense is back to the point where even a 703-yard offensive effort can win. Additionally, there are rumors that Rebels coach Lane Kiffin could be looking at other positions in the SEC. Ole Miss’ defense is giving up 216.1 yards per game through the air (10th in the SEC), and Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers will stay hot in an upset win over the reeling Rebs. Pick: Mississippi State (+2.5)

Recommended game | Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

The Tigers offense has struggled for most of the season, and that’s not a good sign considering Arkansas just beat an Ole Miss team that is designed specifically for shootouts. Razorbacks quarterback KJ Jefferson is back and it’s almost impossible to prepare for how he operates as a runner and passer. Jefferson and star running back Raheim Sanders run away from the Tigers in the second half. Pick: Arkansas (-3)

Florida in the state of Florida number 16

Recommended game | Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gators

The Seminoles have topped the 38-point mark in each of their last four games, including a 38-3 win over Syracuse two games ago. This will force Gators quarterback Anthony Richardson to become more of a threat with his arm, and that is not his strong point. Yes, he threw for 400 yards in last weekend’s loss to Vanderbilt, but he had to do it to give his team a chance after a slow start. I’ll take the Seminoles to win and cover, especially with a 10-point win. Pick: Florida State (-9.5)

Georgia Tech at No. 1 Georgia

The Yellow Jackets have actually played some really good defense recently, including last week when they held a potent North Carolina offense to 365 yards in an upset 21-17 win in Chapel Hill. They’ll be able to force enough stops to keep this to five touchdowns. Don’t get me wrong, Georgia will win and be in control, but the Bulldogs have bigger fish to fry and will pull their starters early in the fourth quarter. Pick: Georgia Tech (+35.5)

South Carolina at No. 8 Clemson

Recommended game | Clemson Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

The Gamecocks will come crashing back down to Earth in Clemson as the Rattler can’t recapture last week’s magic against a much better pass defense. Tigers quarterback DJ Uiagalelei avoids mistakes, goes on long drives to make sure the Rattlers stay on the sideline, and his strong defensive front seven forces enough mistakes to cover them late. Pick: Clemson (-14.5)

Recommended game | Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals

The Cardinals could be without star quarterback Malik Cunningham, though even if he plays, he’s unlikely to be 100%. The Wildcats stifled Georgia’s offense for most of last week’s loss and won’t be intimidated by anything the Cardinals do with or without Cunningham. Wildcats coach Mark Stoops will get a balanced performance from running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. and quarterback Will Levis, which will be enough to win by a touchdown or more. Pick: Kentucky (-3)

Auburn at No. 7 Alabama

Recommended game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers

The “Cadillac factor” under interim coach Carnell Williams has made a huge difference for the Auburn Tigers, but this is a different animal. This is the Iron Bowl against an Alabama team that is significantly more talented and has quarterback Bryce Young, who will likely make his last home start before moving on to the NFL. I fully expect it to be close for two and a half quarters, but for things to slow down and Young to come out with a bang. Pick: Alabama (-22)

No. 5 LSU at Texas A&M

Recommended game | Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigers

Quite frankly, I have no idea why LSU is only a 10-point favorite over an Aggies team that is depleted by injuries and has a miserable end to its season in sight. LSU honed a punishing rushing attack with John Emery Jr. and Noah Cain in the backfield and quarterback Jayden Daniels. The last thing Texas A&M will want to do is get into a fistfight with nothing on the line. This is going to be very, very ugly. Pick: LSU (-10)

No. 10 Tennessee at Vanderbilt

Recommended game | Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Let’s go back in time to a month ago and think about how crazy it would be to say that Tennessee would be favored by just two touchdowns over Vanderbilt in the regular season finale. And yet here we are with the reeling Volunteers going against a Commodores crew riding a two-game winning streak. Volunteer quarterback Joe Milton will step in for Hendon Hooker and torch the “Dores pass” defense to make this a shootout. Vandy won’t be able to keep up and the Vols will enter bowl season with some momentum. Pick Tennessee (-14)

Which college football picks can you make for sure in Week 13 and which top 25 teams will go down hard? Visit SportsLine to find out which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a proven computer model that has returned nearly $3,000 in profits over the past six-plus seasons — and find out.

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