James Spann: Alabama will remain dry through Friday

James Spann predicts a nice fall day for Alabama from Alabama NewsCenter on Vimeo .

NICE AUTUMN DAY: Temperatures are mostly in the 40s early this morning in Alabama; with a good supply of sunshine, we are projecting highs between 72 and 75 degrees this afternoon, very close to seasonal averages. We remain dry Friday with partly to mostly sunny skies; the highest will be in the mid-70s.

ALABAMA WEEKEND: Clouds will return late Friday night and rain will push into West Alabama during the day Saturday. The rain will slowly move east and spread across the state on Saturday night. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a low, marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms for the southwestern part of the state Saturday.

A few storms in southwest Alabama could produce strong gusty winds, but there will be little to no surface instability for the rest of the state, meaning very small storms. The rain is likely to end on Sunday morning as dry air moves into the state from the west. A decent portion of the state should be dry Sunday afternoon, but there may be some light rain in northern Alabama Sunday night.

Rainfall amounts for the weekend will be around 1 inch across most of the state. Highs will be in the 70s on Saturday, followed by the 60s on Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The sky will be exceptionally cloudy and occasional, light rain cannot be ruled out during the passage of the upper channel. So far, it looks like most of the state will be dry for tricks Monday night. Tuesday looks dry, but model guidance now calls for a wave Wednesday with some chance of rain across the state. Dry air follows on Thursday and Friday. Highs during the week will mostly be in the 70s.FOOTBALL WEATHER: Skies will be mostly fair for Friday night’s high school games across Alabama with temperatures dropping from the low 70s early into the 60s by the second half.

Saturday Auburn hosts Arkansas (11 a.m. kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium; skies will mostly cloud over during the game, but for now we expect the weather to remain dry. Temperatures will rise from near 68 at the start to the low 70s during the second half.

The Magic City Classic (Alabama A&M vs. Alabama State) is Saturday at Birmingham’s Legion Field (2:30 p.m. kickoff). Skies will be mostly cloudy, with temperatures hovering around 70 degrees in the first half, dropping into the upper sixties by the final whistle. A little rain cannot be ruled out in the second half.

UAB is at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton Saturday night (6 p.m. kickoff). Skies will be clear with temperatures dropping from near 80 degrees in the early to mid 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: A trough of low pressure extending from the eastern Caribbean Sea northward into the southwest Atlantic continues to produce a broad area of ​​disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The northern part of this trough axis is expected to later result in the formation of a surface cyclone. Environmental conditions then appear marginally favorable for further subtropical development and a subtropical depression could form over the next few days as the system initially moves north and then meanders west or southwest of Bermuda. Upper level winds are expected to be less favorable for development this weekend. This disturbance will remain well east of the US

An area of ​​low pressure is expected to develop over the eastern Caribbean Sea this weekend, likely associated with the southern portion of an existing trough of low pressure over the area. After that, environmental conditions are expected to favor gradual development and a tropical depression could form early next week as the disturbance moves generally west or west-northwest into the central Caribbean Sea. It is too early to know if this will affect any area of ​​the country.

ON THIS DATE IN 1940: A late-season heat wave was sweeping across the Deep South; Birmingham soared to 88 degrees, which is still the daily record for October 27th.

ON THIS DATE IN 2006: An F1 (waterspout) tornado came ashore and caused significant damage on the west side of Apalachicola, Florida.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to view the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

For more weather reports and information from James Spann and his team, visit AlabamaWx.

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