College football predictions, tips, odds: Alabama, Ohio State, Texas on standby in Week 13 – Update Alaba

After several really exceptional weeks in a row, a reversion to the mean was imminent. Unfortunately, the second-to-last week of the year was a flop, with only one of four upset picks falling – and two ending in downright embarrassing fashion for us.

Texas absolutely crushed Kansas 55-14 and left no doubt on the -9 line. Oklahoma jumped out to a 28-0 lead after the first quarter of Bedlam against Oklahoma State and never looked back. Nebraska fell one point short of a touchdown against Wisconsin, while Duke dropped two points against Pitt. Fortunately, Houston came through by blasting East Carolina 42-3.

Rivalries take center stage this week. The biggest game of the weekend in Columbus, Ohio features a surprisingly large lineup. Games against home opponents for Alabama and Clemson have even bigger totals. Let’s prepare for chaos. Here are five games that will jump out at us in Week 13 due to money line issues.

“Upset” is defined by odds, not ratings. All odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Lines may shift after publication.

Baylor at No. 23 Texas

When: Friday 12:00 PM ET | Where: Darrell K. Royal Stadium – Austin, Texas

Latest rates:

Texas Longhorns -8.5

Texas has been overrated by analytics systems all season thanks to a close result against Alabama and the dominance of an Oklahoma team without its quarterback. Favorable metrics make the Longhorns a two-score favorite against Baylor, despite only winning one game by double digits since the Red River Showdown: Kansas.

Baylor gave rival TCU its toughest game of the year in a 29-28 loss, putting up more than 500 yards and five yards per carry against a Frogs defense that held Longhorns rusher Bijan Robinson to 29 yards. The Longhorns are 1-3 against the Big 12’s top six and did their best to blow a 31-10 lead against Kansas State. Pick: Baylor +260

When: Saturday 12pm ET | Where: Ohio Stadium – Columbus, Ohio

Recommended game | Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines

Revenge is on the mind as The Game offers play-in for the College Football Playoff. Ohio State spent the last year preparing for revenge after losing 42-27 in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles fielded the defense well against lesser competition, but Ohio State didn’t play a team that could push it to its physical limits.

Michigan is a flawed team that is one-dimensional offensively. With running back Blake Corum against Illinois, the Wolverines’ offense fell apart. However, Corum should return to Michigan, and Ohio State hasn’t faced a team that can compete with them in the trenches since the scrimmage against Notre Dame. Take the chance. Pick: Michigan +240

When: Saturday 12pm ET | Where: Bridgeforth Stadium – Harrisonburg, Virginia

Recommended game | James Madison Dukes vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

The massive line in this game is perhaps the biggest boost possible for Coastal Carolina quarterback Grayson McCall, who will miss the game with a foot injury. Quarterback Jarrett Guest threw two interceptions in a close 26-23 win over Southern Miss when the Chanticleers nearly blew a 17-0 lead in the first quarter. The canceled game against Virginia last week only adds a level of confusion to this team’s rankings.

However, James Madison hasn’t let up over the past month, losing games to Georgia Southern, Marshall and Louisville and giving up 40 points to Georgia State. The Dukes have an impressive top line of talent, but Coastal Carolina has the depth, experience and maturity to take care of business and keep their New Year’s Six hopes alive. Pick: Coastal Carolina +430

When: Saturday 12pm ET | Where: Clemson Stadium – Clemson, South Carolina

Recommended game | Clemson Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

Can lightning strike twice? Sure why not. Clemson dominated this matchup and has won seven straight since 2014. However, the Tigers have Shane Beamer’s Gamecocks right as they find their rhythm.

Gamecocks quarterback Spencer Rattler rediscovered his mojo with a school-record six touchdown passes in a 63-38 victory over No. 10 Tennessee. South Carolina scored on nine of its 10 full possessions to secure back-to-back winning seasons. There is a path for South Carolina to have the best quarterback on the field if things go right. Pick: South Carolina +430

Auburn at No. 7 Alabama

When: Saturday 3:30pm ET | Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium – Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Recommended game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers

Do you believe in miracles? I don’t, but for a value higher than 10 to 1 involving one of the greatest rivalries in college football, I’ll try my best. Since firing Bryan Harsin, the Tigers have taken a decent Mississippi State team to overtime, beating Texas A&M and Western Kentucky. The vibes around the program under interim coach Cadillac Williams are on another level.

Alabama is on a different level of talent and production, but the Tide were incredibly vulnerable in 2022. Nick Saban’s team won three games by one score, including a field goal as time expired against Texas and a goal-line stop to Texas A&M. Last week, the Tide scored just 17 points in the first half against FCS rival Austin Peay. Alabama isn’t Alabama this year, and a tight end Auburn team could take advantage of that. Pick: Auburn +1050

Last week

1-4

-1.15

Season

11-29

10.19

Which college football picks can you make for sure in Week 13 and which top 25 teams will go down hard? Visit SportsLine to find out which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a proven computer model that has returned nearly $3,000 in profits over the past six-plus seasons — and find out.

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