It’s not often that you come across a 1 vs. 2, but college football’s Week 10 schedule officially enters the history books this Saturday.
Georgia and Tennessee will meet in Athens in a pivotal matchup pitting the No. 1 Bulldogs against the No. 2 Bulls with a chance to take a big step toward winning the East Division and playing for the SEC Championship.
And seemingly for a spot in the College Football Playoff.
But that’s not the only matchup between ranked teams in the SEC: Alabama, at No. 6 in the AP poll, goes on the road against a rejuvenated No. 15 LSU and first-year coach Brian Kelly hopes to stay in the win column and gain a boost in the West Division chase .
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This weekend brings us a total of 21 games with ranked teams, and this is the first week we’ll see the official College Football Playoff rankings released.
Here’s your take on our predictions against the spread for Week 10’s top matchups.
Game lines are courtesy of SI Sportsbook
No. 2 Ohio State (-38) in the Northwest. That’s a huge streak for any conference game, even one as lopsided as this one. Ohio State has the firepower to cover that stretch by halftime against a Wildcat team that hasn’t won a game since August. But the Buckeyes are 1-2 ATS when the margin is over 30 points and could lose interest and slide into neutral in the third quarter. ATS pick: Ohio State to win by 35, not covering
No. 17 North Carolina (-7.5) at Virginia. Right arm Drake May has propelled the Heels to the pole position in the ACC Coastal, passing for 18 touchdowns and two picks, while UVA has yet to top 20 points since the opener. Carolina is 0-2 against the spread on the road. ATS Tip: North Carolina to win by 17, covers
No. 5 Clemson (-4.5) at Notre Dame. Despite their ups and downs, the Irish saved their best offense for ACC opponents, beating both UNC and Syracuse, scoring over 40 points each time. Clemson’s front seven shouldn’t let things go that far, but its offense, despite obvious improvements from last year, has been an inconsistent chain of passing balls. ATS Tip: Clemson to win by 7, cover
No. 6 Alabama (-13) at No. 15 LSU. Nick Saban still has one of the five best rosters in college football, even if he is dealing with penalties and some inconsistencies on both sides of the ball. LSU has been unpredictable in Kelly’s first season, but when this offense clicks, it’s hard to stop Jayden Daniels, who is a dual threat in the pass and run. This one remains close enough to get Kelly some buzz with the fans, but the Tide is still a class apart in terms of raw talent. ATS pick: Alabama from 14, covers
No. 2 Tennessee at No. 1 Georgia (-8.5). Two of the top-rated teams, two of the top-rated offenses, two of the SEC’s best defenses, and two of its top four goals. Georgia will need to stop the Vols’ pyrotechnic aerial attack, and UT needs to tune its back seven against UGA’s skill threats. Whoever can run the ball the best at the end of the game should win, and the home team has the upper hand, but only narrowly. ATS Tip: Georgia wins by 7, doesn’t cover
Texas Tech at No. 7 TCU (-9.5). Winning streak for the Horned Frogs, who have played close games, four straight by 10 points or less. ATS Tip: TCU to win by 8, not covering
Florida at Texas A&M (-3). Five-star quarterback Conner Weigman threw for 300 yards with 4 TDs last week, but this offense looks a lot more confident with him in the game. ATS pick: Texas A&M by 6, covers
Baylor at Oklahoma (-3.5). This isn’t the OU we’re used to, but it’s improved since we got Dillon Gabriel back. ATS Tip: Oklahoma to win by 6, covers
No. 14 Michigan State at Illinois (-16.5). Sparta is 1-5 ATS as an underdog and the Illini are 4-1 ATS as a favored and gifted team that plays the ball, but this line is too generous. ATS Tip: Illinois to win by 15, not covering
No. 16 Penn State (-14) at Indiana. PSU’s bid to win the B1G East is pretty much toast after losses to Michigan and Ohio State, but it should get back on track playing the ball against the Hoosiers’ haphazard rushing defense. ATS pick: Penn State from 17, covers
No. 23 Liberty at Arkansas (-13.5). Back in the poll but nearly 2 TD psi on the Hogs, Liberty has speed on the perimeter and a strong defense, but Arkansas has overhauled that potent offense and scored nearly 47 points in their last two games, both wins. ATS Pick: Arkansas wins by 14, covers
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